The Outlook: A week of clouds, rain and rare sunshine | Time



After a crystal clear Sunday, the last of its kind in a long time, we will wake up to a gloomy Monday morning, with rain and slightly milder temperatures reaching the possible 60 lows in South Berkshire. The rest of the Berkshires are likely to remain on the cold side of a stalled weather system, the exact limit of which is unclear.

The battle between cold and warm air masses is expected to lead to a coastal storm developing for Tuesday, but the amount of rain depends on the path of the system. The rain is expected to subside before dawn on Wednesday, followed by a respite before the next storm arrives with widespread precipitation, starting late Friday and continuing intermittently throughout the weekend.

What about Sunday night Halloween candy-hunting expeditions? It’s a tough forecast so far in advance, but we might get a break from a remarkably dark and humid end of the month that has opened with two weeks of unusually warm temperatures.

The Climate Prediction Center’s outlook for the first week of November shows near normal temperatures and precipitation for western New England. Early morning dog walkers, commuters and families going to school can expect sunrise an hour earlier when standard time returns on November 8. But many people will be heading home at dusk, as the sunset will be around 4:45 am that week.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s national winter weather forecast for December through February leans toward above normal temperatures for the northeast, while western Massachusetts is within an extended area of ​​normal amounts of snow and rain expected. The historic Berkshire County average for seasonal snowfall is 76 inches.

Speaking of snow, the Mount Washington Observatory atop New England’s highest peak celebrated the onset of winter weather last Monday and Tuesday, as Sarah Gibson of New Hampshire Public Radio informed. After seven inches of snow and several days of ice fog, the summit felt like a winter wonderland, according to Jackie Bellefontaine, a weather observer and education specialist who spends eight-day shifts at the observatory.

“The summit is absolutely beautiful, covered in snow and frost,” Bellefontaine told NHPR. Frost forms when water droplets freeze on the surface of trees and other objects, giving them a frosty, feather-like appearance.

The mountain, known for its most extreme weather conditions and dangerous hikes in the world, receives average winds of 45 mph during the winter months. The mountain’s record gust of 231 mph was recorded in 1934; most recently, an explosion to 147 mph in 2020.

But Bellefontaine, in her snow pants, two jackets and goggles, said the winter preview was what she expected. “We really enjoy our snow here at the top,” she said with a laugh. “We are all very used to extreme winter conditions. “

NATIONAL OVERVIEW

The powerful storm that hit northern California on Sunday carried the threat of flooding and mudslides, especially where the ground is scarred by wildfires. At least two feet of snow is expected along the Sierra Nevada range as the storm moves south toward the Los Angeles subway and the Mexican border on Monday, raising the prospect of flooding and mudslides.

The National Weather Service said the system will generate enough rain to be classified as an atmospheric river event, a parade of storms feeding extreme humidity in waves across the Pacific to the West Coast. A storm warning is in effect for the Pacific Northwest, while flash flood watches and strong wind warnings have been issued for areas further inland.

Heavy precipitation is expected over much of northern and central California as well as the Pacific Northwest, with 3-6 inches of rain by Monday evening. A high risk of excessive precipitation leading to flash floods is in effect in parts of northern California. Temperatures will dip statewide, 20 to 25 degrees below average on Monday. The Pacific storm will produce moderate precipitation and heavy mountain snow as it moves through the Rockies by Tuesday.

At the start of the week, heavy rains and thunderstorms are forecast for the Mississippi Valley and the Midwest.

The extended outlook for Wednesday through next Sunday represents back-to-back storm systems from the southern plains to the mid-Atlantic coast. Another system moves across the Pacific Northwest on Friday, with a repeat of heavy lowland rains and mountain snow.

Abundant Gulf of Mexico moisture on Wednesday fed moderate to locally heavy rains across much of the lower and middle Mississippi Valley and central areas of the Gulf Coast, where there is severe weather potential. Precipitation will expand eastward into the Ohio Valley / Appalachian Mountains and eventually into the mid-Atlantic and northeastern areas to close out the week.

CLIMATE UPDATE

Music festivals are contributing to the climate crisis as bright lights and booming sound devour energy and fans and artists drive and fly from all over the world to witness them. Festivals sell the transformative power of music as prolonged summers get unbearably hot.

“This summer, what we have seen weather-wise are a large number of incredible heatwaves, showers and floods that have broken all records,” said Daniel Swain, climatologist at the UCLA.

Festivals are tourist attractions that fuel an extremely lucrative business. By next year, the live music industry is expected to be worth $ 31 billion worldwide. Entertainment companies like Live Nation are encouraged by citizens and concerned organizations to think about their carbon footprint and set goals to make their productions more sustainable.

Coachella, in the desert three hours east of Los Angeles, created “Carpoolchella” to reward fans who travel together by car. Yet even as one of the largest and most profitable music festivals in the world, its initiatives are fragile as its webpage is filled with fluffy rhetoric such as “Talking about the impacts of climate change,” “Deploying a Waste Gang team to increase recycling and compost ”, and“ Share best practices ”.

Rock band Coldplay has put their touring program on hold until they are able to produce carbon neutral shows, which they will launch in March. “I’m scared of the socio-political state of the world, scared of climate change, scared of COVID,” the group’s Naomi McPherson told the Washington Post, recalling scenes of fans swooning from recent heat waves. “I am scared every day. Things are getting more and more extreme.

“It’s a microcosm of the bigger problem. Individual decisions are important, but you are limited by the decisions available to you, ”said Swain, the climate scientist at UCLA. “[Organizers] should make it easier to make good choices.

Jon Christensen, who teaches environmental communication at UCLA, is confident the industry will adapt. “The desire to celebrate together through music will not be repressed,” he said. “If we cannot have beauty and joy while facing the climate crisis, we will not be successful. “

Material from the Washington Post was included in the climate update.


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